Flamengo de Sucre – Nacional Sucre

Model: TipTromba15H

Flamengo de Sucre vs Nacional Sucre

PREDICTION
1
@ 12.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 23, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 48d 17h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.70% · n=23
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 49d 2h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Flamengo de Sucre. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Flamengo de Sucre

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

57/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds5.25First seen
Current12.00Now
Max odds12.00Highest point
Min odds5.25Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Flamengo de SucreHOME
VS
Nacional SucreAWAY
WL
Recent form
LL
Avg goals scored
1.00
0.00
Defensive weakness
2.00
1.00
Shots on target for
2.00
2.00
SoT conceded pressure
4.50
3.50
Home splitW-L1.00 scored / 2.00 conceded
Away splitL-L0.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 12.00. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.70% based on n=23 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar (bo). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd12.00
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.70% · n=23
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, Flamengo de Sucre shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 42.0% 7D: 29.6% 15D: 24.3% 30D: 8.6%
Model insight

Flamengo de Sucre – Nacional Sucre Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 12.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba15H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.70% across 23 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample3
Win Rate33.3%
Profit+9.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSSouthern California Dutch Lions Women - Capo FC (W)12.002.18%
WINYanapuma (W) - Alianza Lima (W)12.002.18%
LOSSBuhimba United Saints FC - Vipers SC12.004.11%
Pick
1 @ 12.00
Kickoff
Mag 23, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.70% • n=23
Start
Started 48d 17h ago
Updated
Updated 49d 2h ago
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