Model: TipTromba5H

Al-Ahly Nabatieh vs AC Tripoli

PREDICTION

@ 4.75

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffGiu 26, 2026 5:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarted 11h 29m ago

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.13% · n=87

V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.13% · n=87

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 13h 31m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Al-Ahly Nabatieh. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Al-Ahly Nabatieh

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Balanced

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

42/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds4.75First seen

Current4.75Now

Max odds4.75Highest point

Min odds4.75Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Al-Ahly NabatiehHOME

AC TripoliAWAY

N/A

Recent form

Avg goals scored

N/A

4.00

Defensive weakness

N/A

0.00

Shots on target for

N/A

9.00

SoT conceded pressure

N/A

5.00

Home splitN/AN/A scored / N/A conceded

Away splitN/AN/A scored / N/A conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.75. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.13% based on n=87 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Lebanon Division 2 (lb). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd4.75

V2 BandNONEROI -1.13% · n=87

V4 BandNONEROI -1.13% · n=87

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor Al-Ahly Nabatieh. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: 9.5% 7D: -11.7% 15D: -6.9% 30D: -1.8%

Model insight

Al-Ahly Nabatieh – AC Tripoli Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.75. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba5H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.13% and -1.13%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample22

Win Rate13.6%

Profit-7.75u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Shkendija Tetovo - Hajduk Split	4.75	-1.13%
LOSS	Atletico Sucre - Universitario de Sucre	4.75	-1.13%
LOSS	Universidad Catolica del Ecuador (W) - LDU Quito (W)	4.75	-1.13%
LOSS	Stranraer - Larne FC	4.75	-1.13%
LOSS	Shenzhen Juniors - Shenzhen Xinpengcheng	4.75	-1.13%
WIN	Sao Jose MA - Tupan MA	4.75	-1.13%
WIN	Samgurali - FC Iberia 1999	4.75	-1.13%
LOSS	Inhumas - Aparecidense	4.75	-0.68%

Pick

1 @ 4.75

Kickoff

Giu 26, 2026 5:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -1.13% • n=87

Confidence V4

CONF V4: NONE

Exp. ROI V4

-1.13% • n=87

Start

Started 11h 29m ago

Updated

Updated 13h 31m ago