Model: TipTromba5H

Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Herzliya

PREDICTION

@ 4.75

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 06, 2026 9:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1d 16h

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.67% · n=99

V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.67% · n=99

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 12m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Hapoel Afula. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Hapoel AfulaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.144 | A: 0.095

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

44/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Hapoel AfulaHOME

Maccabi HerzliyaAWAY

LLWLW

Recent form

WWDDW

Avg goals scored

1.40

2.20

Defensive weakness

2.20

1.20

Shots on target for

7.00

5.60

SoT conceded pressure

5.80

4.20

Home splitW-W-D-D-L1.00 scored / 0.80 conceded

Away splitD-W-W-D-L1.40 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.75. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -0.67% based on n=99 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Israel League Cup (il). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd4.75

V2 BandNONEROI -0.67% · n=99

V4 BandNONEROI -0.67% · n=99

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Hapoel Afula is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 45.7% 7D: 27.7% 15D: 8.4% 30D: 11.9%

Model insight

Hapoel Afula – Maccabi Herzliya Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.75. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba5H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -0.67% and -0.67%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample30

Win Rate16.7%

Profit-6.25u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Gimnastic - FC Andorra	4.75	-1.13%
WIN	AFC Telford - Walsall	4.75	-1.13%
LOSS	29 de Septiembre FBC - 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	4.75	-1.13%
WIN	Kamuzu Barracks - Blue Eagles	4.75	-0.67%
LOSS	West Adelaide Reserves - Sturt Lions Reserves	4.75	-0.67%
LOSS	Linfield - Aberdeen	4.75	-0.67%
LOSS	Balzan FC - Valletta	4.80	-0.67%
LOSS	City Lads FC (W) - First Touch Academy (W)	4.75	-1.13%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Mallorca - PSG	1	4.75	-0.95%	05 Aug 21:00

Pick

1 @ 4.75

Kickoff

Ago 06, 2026 9:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -0.67% • n=99

Confidence V4

CONF V4: NONE

Exp. ROI V4

-0.67% • n=99

Start

Starts in 1d 16h

Updated

Updated 12m ago