New Jersey Copa (W) – Morris Elite SC (W)

Model: TipTromba12H

New Jersey Copa (W) vs Morris Elite SC (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 9.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 27, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultWIN3 - 2
StartStarted 45d 20h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.45% · n=86
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 46d 19h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is New Jersey Copa (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: New Jersey Copa (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Balanced

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

53/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds6.00First seen
Current9.00Now
Max odds9.00Highest point
Min odds6.00Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

New Jersey Copa (W)HOME
VS
Morris Elite SC (W)AWAY
WWLLL
Recent form
LWDWL
Avg goals scored
1.20
2.00
Defensive weakness
3.20
2.20
Shots on target for
3.00
7.33
SoT conceded pressure
4.00
4.00
Home splitW-W-L-L-L1.80 scored / 2.80 conceded
Away splitL-W-W-L-W2.60 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 9.00. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.45% based on n=86 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA USL W-League Women (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd9.00
V2 BandLOWROI 1.45% · n=86
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -9.9% 7D: -19.4% 15D: -9.3% 30D: -4.6%
Model insight

New Jersey Copa (W) – Morris Elite SC (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 9.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba12H model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.45% across 86 similar predictions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample30
Win Rate26.7%
Profit+42.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSSt Johnstone (W) - Montrose LFC (W)9.001.42%
LOSSTogo U20 - Nigeria U209.001.45%
LOSSGremio Esportivo Laranjeiras - Linhares9.001.45%
LOSSFC Orbi - Dinamo Batumi9.001.45%
LOSSBishop's Stortford - Chelmsford9.001.42%
LOSSJackson Boom - Mississippi Brilla9.001.45%
LOSSClachnacuddin - Ross County9.001.42%
LOSSCrusaders Strikers (W) - Linfield (W)9.001.42%
Pick
1 @ 9.00
Kickoff
Giu 27, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.45% • n=86
Start
Started 45d 20h ago
Updated
Updated 46d 19h ago
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