Model: TipA1

Araruama FC vs Olaria AC

PREDICTION

@ 2.15

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffGiu 27, 2026 11:00 PM

ResultLOSS1 - 0

StartStarted 45d 19h ago

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.85% · n=318

V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.85% · n=318

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 46d 18h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Olaria AC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Olaria ACGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

13/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Araruama FCHOME

Olaria ACAWAY

WWDDL

Recent form

LWWWD

Avg goals scored

0.60

1.80

Defensive weakness

0.40

0.60

Shots on target for

1.00

3.00

SoT conceded pressure

2.40

2.20

Home splitW-D-L-W-L1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitL-W-D-L-L0.80 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.15. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.85% based on n=318 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.15

V2 BandNONEROI -3.85% · n=318

V4 BandNONEROI -3.85% · n=318

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Olaria AC's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -9.9% 7D: -19.4% 15D: -9.3% 30D: -4.6%

Model insight

Araruama FC – Olaria AC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.15. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -3.85% and -3.85%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample206

Win Rate47.1%

Profit-4.80u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Central Stallions - Tainan City	2.05	-1.48%
WIN	Witton Albion - Stalybridge	2.00	-1.48%
LOSS	Klepp (W) - Fyllingsdalen (W)	2.00	-1.48%
LOSS	Jonsereds IF - Landvetter IS	2.15	-3.85%
LOSS	Storfors AIK - Umeå FF	2.15	-1.48%
WIN	Nordstrand - Frigg	2.00	-1.48%
LOSS	Redcar Athletic - Bury	2.10	-3.85%
WIN	Räppe GOIF - IFK Berga	2.05	-1.48%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Fuzesabonyi SC - Nyiregyhaza II	2	2.20	-3.85%	12 Aug 17:30
GIF Sundsvall - Helsingborg	2	2.05	-1.48%	15 Aug 15:00
OKS Swit Skolwin - Sandecja Nowy Sacz	2	2.20	-1.48%	15 Aug 17:00

Pick

2 @ 2.15

Kickoff

Giu 27, 2026 11:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -3.85% • n=318

Confidence V4

CONF V4: NONE

Exp. ROI V4

-3.85% • n=318

Start

Started 45d 19h ago

Updated

Updated 46d 18h ago