FC Thalwil – FC Zurich

Model: TipTromba15H

FC Thalwil vs FC Zurich

PREDICTION
1
@ 13.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 27, 2026 6:30 PM
ResultLOSS4 - 6
StartStarted 57d 1h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.43% · n=17
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 57d 13h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FC Thalwil. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FC ThalwilGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

63/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds12.00First seen
Current13.00Now
Max odds13.00Highest point
Min odds12.00Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FC ThalwilHOME
VS
FC ZurichAWAY
LW
Recent form
WWWDL
Avg goals scored
3.50
2.60
Defensive weakness
4.00
1.80
Shots on target for
6.50
5.00
SoT conceded pressure
7.00
4.60
Home splitL4.00 scored / 6.00 conceded
Away splitW-D-L-D-L1.80 scored / 2.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 13.00. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.43% based on n=17 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd13.00
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.43% · n=17
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor FC Thalwil. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. FC Thalwil is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 24.9% 7D: 2.9% 15D: 2.6% 30D: -0.2%
Model insight

FC Thalwil – FC Zurich Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 13.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba15H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.43% across 17 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample15
Win Rate6.7%
Profit-2.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSSantos Laguna U19 (W) - Tigres UANL U19 (W)13.004.43%
LOSSSpjelkavik - Hodd13.004.43%
LOSSGesztely FC - Cigand SE13.004.43%
LOSSReal Potosi U19 - Bolivar U1913.003.19%
LOSSGateshead - Newcastle13.003.19%
LOSSSapphire FC (W) - Lindelani FC (W)13.003.19%
LOSSBamber Bridge - Preston13.003.19%
LOSSEastern United Reserves - Adelaide Olympic Reserves13.004.43%
Pick
1 @ 13.00
Kickoff
Giu 27, 2026 6:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.43% • n=17
Start
Started 57d 1h ago
Updated
Updated 57d 13h ago
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