Spjelkavik – Hodd

Model: TipTromba15H

Spjelkavik vs Hodd

PREDICTION
1
@ 13.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 22, 2026 4:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 2
StartStarted 1d 3h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.43% · n=17
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 6h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Spjelkavik. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: SpjelkavikGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.049 | A: 0.038

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Balanced

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

63/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds15.50First seen
Current16.00Now
Max odds18.50Highest point
Min odds15.50Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

SpjelkavikHOME
VS
HoddAWAY
LWLWW
Recent form
WWWWL
Avg goals scored
2.60
2.40
Defensive weakness
2.40
2.80
Shots on target for
3.20
4.20
SoT conceded pressure
4.80
5.80
Home splitL-L-W-L-W1.80 scored / 2.00 conceded
Away splitW-W-L-W-D2.00 scored / 2.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 13.00. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.43% based on n=17 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Norway Cup (no). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd13.00
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.43% · n=17
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The selection carries significant risk according to both market expectations and recent form indicators. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 35.5% 7D: 22.8% 15D: 1.9% 30D: 4.0%
Model insight

Spjelkavik – Hodd Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 13.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba15H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.43% across 17 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample15
Win Rate6.7%
Profit-2.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSSantos Laguna U19 (W) - Tigres UANL U19 (W)13.004.43%
LOSSGesztely FC - Cigand SE13.004.43%
LOSSReal Potosi U19 - Bolivar U1913.003.19%
LOSSGateshead - Newcastle13.003.19%
LOSSSapphire FC (W) - Lindelani FC (W)13.003.19%
LOSSBamber Bridge - Preston13.003.19%
LOSSFC Thalwil - FC Zurich13.004.43%
LOSSEastern United Reserves - Adelaide Olympic Reserves13.004.43%
Pick
1 @ 13.00
Kickoff
Ago 22, 2026 4:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.43% • n=17
Start
Started 1d 3h ago
Updated
Updated 1d 6h ago
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