Union Luxembourg vs FC Etzella Ettelbruck
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Union Luxembourg. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Union LuxembourgGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.62. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.89% based on n=1157 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
The short price is supported by recent form data, with Union Luxembourg showing a clearer performance edge. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Union Luxembourg is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Union Luxembourg – FC Etzella Ettelbruck Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Argentino de Rosario Reserves - Centro Espanyol Reserves | 1.57 | -3.82% |
| WIN | FC Tatabanya - Bicskei TC | 1.50 | -1.89% |
| LOSS | Independiente Chivilcoy - Sarmiento de Resistencia | 1.57 | -1.89% |
| WIN | Corona Brasov - ACS Olimpic Zarnesti | 1.55 | -1.89% |
| WIN | Formartine United - Dundee B | 1.67 | -3.82% |
| LOSS | East Fife - Spartans | 1.60 | -3.38% |
| LOSS | Penarol Reserves - Cerro Largo Reserves | 1.50 | -3.38% |
| WIN | Rosenborg 2 - Ranheim 2 | 1.50 | -3.82% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Bengal Club II - Bhawanipore FC | 1 | 1.73 | -3.38% | 14 Aug 11:30 |
| Deportivo Recoleta Reserves - 2 de Mayo Reserves | 1 | 1.70 | -1.89% | 14 Aug 13:00 |
| Universitario De Vinto - Real Tomayapo | 1 | 1.62 | -3.82% | 14 Aug 21:00 |
| Chester - Kings Lynn Town | 1 | 1.70 | -3.38% | 15 Aug 16:00 |
| Kazincbarcikai BSC - Kozarmisleny SE | 1 | 1.65 | -3.38% | 15 Aug 17:30 |
| FK Radnik Surdulica - FK Macva Sabac | 1 | 1.73 | -3.82% | 15 Aug 19:00 |
| Venezia - Modena | 1 | 1.62 | -1.89% | 15 Aug 20:45 |
| Arminia Bielefeld - Cottbus | 1 | 1.73 | -1.89% | 16 Aug 13:30 |