Italy U19 vs Serbia U19
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Italy U19. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Italy U19Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.50. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.89% based on n=1157 historical similar picks. The match belongs to European U19 Championship. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
The odds suggest a clear favorite, although the recent form gap is not as dominant as the price might imply. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.
Italy U19 – Serbia U19 Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Union Luxembourg - FC Etzella Ettelbruck | 1.62 | -1.89% |
| WIN | Shenzhen 2028 - Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves | 1.57 | -3.38% |
| LOSS | Shamrock Rovers (W) - Wexford FC (W) | 1.55 | -3.38% |
| LOSS | F91 Dudelange - Crossing Schaerbeek | 1.57 | -1.89% |
| LOSS | Tiquipaya - Club Tigres FC | 1.67 | -3.82% |
| WIN | Eastern Suburbs U23 - Brisbane Olympic FC U23 | 1.65 | -1.89% |
| LOSS | KF Fjallabyggd - FC Arbaer | 1.60 | -1.89% |
| LOSS | Apia L Tigers U20 - Rockdale Ilinden FC U20 | 1.55 | -3.82% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Garcilaso - Deportivo Binacional | 1 | 1.53 | -3.38% | 29 Jun 22:15 |
| Penarol Reserves - Liverpool Montevideo Reserves | 1 | 1.67 | -3.38% | 30 Jun 15:00 |
| SD Aucas - Guayaquil City | 1 | 1.50 | -3.38% | 01 Jul 22:00 |