SD Aucas vs Guayaquil City
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is SD Aucas. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: SD AucasValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.50. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.38% based on n=1115 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Ecuador LigaPro Serie A (ec). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
Market expectations and recent results both point toward SD Aucas as the more reliable side. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. SD Aucas is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
SD Aucas – Guayaquil City Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Union Luxembourg - FC Etzella Ettelbruck | 1.62 | -1.89% |
| LOSS | Shamrock Rovers (W) - Wexford FC (W) | 1.55 | -3.38% |
| LOSS | Tiquipaya - Club Tigres FC | 1.67 | -3.82% |
| WIN | Eastern Suburbs U23 - Brisbane Olympic FC U23 | 1.65 | -1.89% |
| LOSS | KF Fjallabyggd - FC Arbaer | 1.60 | -1.89% |
| WIN | Viktoria Plzen - SK Artis Brno | 1.50 | -1.89% |
| WIN | ACS UTA Batrana Doamna - CSC Dumbravita | 1.50 | -1.89% |
| WIN | Adelaide Comets Reserves - Adelaide City Reserves | 1.50 | -3.38% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jincheon HR - Namyangju FC | 1 | 1.57 | -3.38% | 28 Jun 07:00 |
| Apia L Tigers U20 - Rockdale Ilinden FC U20 | 1 | 1.55 | -3.82% | 28 Jun 10:15 |
| F91 Dudelange - Crossing Schaerbeek | 1 | 1.57 | -1.89% | 28 Jun 11:00 |
| Shenzhen 2028 - Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves | 1 | 1.57 | -3.38% | 28 Jun 13:30 |