Benfica Macau – Macau Chiba FC

Model: TIPPSH

Benfica Macau vs Macau Chiba FC

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.87
StatusUpcoming
KickoffGiu 28, 2026 3:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 14m
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.87% · n=129
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 7h 5m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Benfica Macau. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Benfica Macau

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

62/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.45First seen
Current3.68Now
Max odds3.68Highest point
Min odds2.45Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Benfica MacauHOME
VS
Macau Chiba FCAWAY
LLDWW
Recent form
WWWDW
Avg goals scored
2.00
4.40
Defensive weakness
1.60
1.20
Shots on target for
5.80
7.80
SoT conceded pressure
3.60
5.00
Home splitD-D2.00 scored / 2.00 conceded
Away splitW-W-D-D-L2.60 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.87. The V2 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 5.87% based on n=129 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Macau 1st Division (mo). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.87
V2 BandHIGHROI 5.87% · n=129
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. Comparable matches classified within the HIGH confidence range have historically generated positive model outcomes.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 20.3% 7D: 5.6% 15D: 1.8% 30D: -3.9%
Model insight

Benfica Macau – Macau Chiba FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.87. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 5.87% across 129 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample5
Win Rate20.0%
Profit-1.18u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSGuangxi Hengchen - Shandong Taishan4.115.87%
LOSSLyn 1896 U19 - Molde U193.905.87%
WINHUSA Agadir - RSB Berkane3.825.87%
LOSSEl Salvador (W) - Costa Rica (W)3.707.69%
LOSSClub 9 de Octubre - Manta FC3.707.69%
Pick
1 @ 3.87
Kickoff
Giu 28, 2026 3:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 5.87% • n=129
Start
Starts in 14m
Updated
Updated 7h 5m ago
Torna in alto