Model: TipTromba2H

Penarol Reserves vs Liverpool Montevideo Reserves

PREDICTION

@ 1.67

StatusUpcoming

KickoffGiu 30, 2026 5:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1d 8h

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.38% · n=1115

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 8h 25m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Penarol Reserves. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Penarol Reserves

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

8/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Penarol ReservesHOME

Liverpool Montevideo ReservesAWAY

DWWWW

Recent form

DLWWL

Avg goals scored

1.60

2.20

Defensive weakness

0.40

2.00

Shots on target for

4.80

5.40

SoT conceded pressure

2.20

5.80

Home splitW-W-W-L-D1.00 scored / 0.60 conceded

Away splitL-L-L-D-L1.40 scored / 2.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.67. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.38% based on n=1115 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Uruguay Reserve League (uy). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.67

V2 BandNONEROI -3.38% · n=1115

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The short price is supported by recent form data, with Penarol Reserves showing a clearer performance edge. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: 42.2% 7D: 15.4% 15D: 8.4% 30D: -0.3%

Model insight

Penarol Reserves – Liverpool Montevideo Reserves Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.67. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -3.38% across 1115 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample342

Win Rate65.2%

Profit+16.68u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Union Luxembourg - FC Etzella Ettelbruck	1.62	-1.89%
WIN	Shenzhen 2028 - Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves	1.57	-3.38%
LOSS	Shamrock Rovers (W) - Wexford FC (W)	1.55	-3.38%
LOSS	F91 Dudelange - Crossing Schaerbeek	1.57	-1.89%
LOSS	Tiquipaya - Club Tigres FC	1.67	-3.82%
WIN	Eastern Suburbs U23 - Brisbane Olympic FC U23	1.65	-1.89%
LOSS	KF Fjallabyggd - FC Arbaer	1.60	-1.89%
LOSS	Apia L Tigers U20 - Rockdale Ilinden FC U20	1.55	-3.82%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Italy U19 - Serbia U19	1	1.50	-1.89%	29 Jun 17:00
Deportivo Garcilaso - Deportivo Binacional	1	1.53	-3.38%	29 Jun 22:15
SD Aucas - Guayaquil City	1	1.50	-3.38%	01 Jul 22:00

Pick

1 @ 1.67

Kickoff

Giu 30, 2026 5:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -3.38% • n=1115

Start

Starts in 1d 8h

Updated

Updated 8h 25m ago