Vinotinto Ecuador – Gualaceo SC

Model: TIPPSH

Vinotinto Ecuador vs Gualaceo SC

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.35
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 01, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 2
StartStarted 13h 37m ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.15% · n=323
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 15h 47m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Vinotinto Ecuador. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Vinotinto Ecuador

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Balanced

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

40/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.20First seen
Current2.35Now
Max odds2.72Highest point
Min odds1.88Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Vinotinto EcuadorHOME
VS
Gualaceo SCAWAY
LLDWW
Recent form
WWLWW
Avg goals scored
1.60
1.00
Defensive weakness
1.20
0.40
Shots on target for
4.00
4.40
SoT conceded pressure
4.20
3.20
Home splitL-D-W-W-W2.00 scored / 0.80 conceded
Away splitW-L-L-D-D0.80 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.35. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.15% based on n=323 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Ecuador LigaPro Serie B (ec). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.35
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.15% · n=323
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 55.6% 7D: 41.9% 15D: 17.3% 30D: 7.0%
Model insight

Vinotinto Ecuador – Gualaceo SC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.35. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.15% across 323 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample124
Win Rate39.5%
Profit-13.09u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSWuhan Three Towns Reserves - Hangzhou Linping Wuyue2.383.15%
LOSSJacuipense U20 - Fluminense De Feira U202.302.49%
LOSSNomads United - Christchurch United2.233.37%
WINIF Gnistan (W) - PK-35 Vantaa (W)2.552.49%
LOSSIga FC Kunoichi (W) - Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)2.392.49%
WINTPV II - NoPS2.322.49%
LOSSNordic United FC - IK Oddevold2.602.49%
LOSSWolaita Dicha - Ethio Electric FC2.322.49%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Cuiaba - America MG12.133.37%03 Jul 00:00
Denver Summit FC (W) - Kansas City Current (W)12.472.49%04 Jul 03:30
Angel City FC (W) - Orlando Pride (W)12.522.49%04 Jul 04:00
Club Atletico Temperley - Tristan Suarez12.412.49%04 Jul 20:30
Nautico - EC Juventude12.273.15%06 Jul 00:00
Pick
1 @ 2.35
Kickoff
Lug 01, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.15% • n=323
Start
Started 13h 37m ago
Updated
Updated 15h 47m ago
Torna in alto