Model: TIPPSA

Fortaleza U20 vs Vasco da Gama U20

PREDICTION

@ 2.11

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffLug 01, 2026 10:00 PM

ResultLOSS1 - 1

StartStarted 11h 20m ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.21% · n=228

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.21% · n=228

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 15h 20m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Vasco da Gama U20. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Vasco da Gama U20

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

30/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.28First seen

Current2.12Now

Max odds2.28Highest point

Min odds2.12Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Fortaleza U20HOME

Vasco da Gama U20AWAY

DLLDL

Recent form

DWLLD

Avg goals scored

0.80

2.00

Defensive weakness

1.40

1.20

Shots on target for

3.60

6.80

SoT conceded pressure

4.80

4.60

Home splitD-D-L-L-W1.60 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitD-D-L-W-W1.00 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.11. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.21% based on n=228 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie A U20 (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.11

V2 BandLOWROI 1.21% · n=228

V4 BandLOWROI 1.21% · n=228

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Vasco da Gama U20 a useful statistical edge. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Vasco da Gama U20 is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 68.6% 7D: 41.9% 15D: 17.7% 30D: 7.0%

Model insight

Fortaleza U20 – Vasco da Gama U20 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.11. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.21% and 1.21%. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample91

Win Rate53.8%

Profit+12.68u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Radomiak Radom - Hapoel Beer Sheva	2.04	1.21%
WIN	Bentleigh Greens - Altona Magic	2.29	0.84%
WIN	Holland Park Hawks - Redlands United	2.03	1.21%
LOSS	Galway United - Derry City	2.35	0.84%
WIN	IFK Mariehamn - IF Gnistan	2.03	1.21%
LOSS	Nunawading - Keilor Park	2.25	0.84%
WIN	MyPa - PPJ	2.06	1.76%
WIN	Academia Deportiva Cantolao - CD Universidad San Martin	2.35	0.84%

Pick

2 @ 2.11

Kickoff

Lug 01, 2026 10:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.21% • n=228

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.21% • n=228

Start

Started 11h 20m ago

Updated

Updated 15h 20m ago