Model: TipA1

Glenorchy Knights Reserves vs Clarence Zebras Reserves

PREDICTION

@ 2.63

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffLug 03, 2026 2:15 PM

ResultWIN0 - 8

StartStarted 44d 11h ago

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.36% · n=530

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.36% · n=530

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 44d 22h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Clarence Zebras Reserves. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Clarence Zebras ReservesGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

54/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.60First seen

Current2.66Now

Max odds2.72Highest point

Min odds2.60Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Glenorchy Knights ReservesHOME

Clarence Zebras ReservesAWAY

LLLLD

Recent form

WDLLL

Avg goals scored

0.60

2.60

Defensive weakness

5.00

2.40

Shots on target for

3.00

6.20

SoT conceded pressure

12.00

7.60

Home splitL-L-L-D-L0.60 scored / 5.40 conceded

Away splitW-L-L3.33 scored / 3.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.63. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.36% based on n=530 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Tasmania Championship (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.63

V2 BandHIGHROI 6.36% · n=530

V4 BandHIGHROI 6.36% · n=530

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Clarence Zebras Reserves. Comparable matches classified within the HIGH confidence range have historically generated positive model outcomes. Clarence Zebras Reserves is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 73.2% 7D: 56.9% 15D: 28.5% 30D: 9.9%

Model insight

Glenorchy Knights Reserves – Clarence Zebras Reserves Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.63. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.36% and 6.36%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample121

Win Rate39.7%

Profit+5.41u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Wexford FC (W) - FC Treaty United (W)	2.38	6.36%
WIN	CSM Ramnicu Valcea - CSM Slatina	2.50	6.36%
LOSS	Excelsior Virton - Lierse Kempenzonen	2.88	5.52%
LOSS	SK Rapid Psary - Meteor Prague VIII	2.50	6.36%
LOSS	Hestrafors IF - Qviding FIF	2.75	5.52%
LOSS	Havant and W - Frome Town	2.38	6.36%
WIN	Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz - Vysocina Jihlava	2.75	5.52%
LOSS	Kremser SC - Parndorf	2.55	6.36%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Valur Reykjavik - KA Akureyri	2	2.88	5.52%	16 Aug 21:15
PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) - TPS (W)	2	2.75	5.52%	17 Aug 17:30

Pick

2 @ 2.63

Kickoff

Lug 03, 2026 2:15 PM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 6.36% • n=530

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

6.36% • n=530

Start

Started 44d 11h ago

Updated

Updated 44d 22h ago