Excelsior Virton vs Lierse Kempenzonen
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Lierse Kempenzonen. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Lierse KempenzonenGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.093 | A: 0.121Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.88. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.82% based on n=246 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Belgium First Division B (be). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. The HIGH confidence band is important here: similar higher-priced setups have historically produced positive model results. Lierse Kempenzonen is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Excelsior Virton – Lierse Kempenzonen Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | HIFK - Atlantis | 3.10 | 5.52% |
| LOSS | FC Flora Tallinn (W) - Paide Linnanaiskond (W) | 2.90 | 5.52% |
| WIN | Derby U21 - Hull U21 | 3.00 | 5.52% |
| LOSS | Hestrafors IF - Qviding FIF | 2.75 | 5.52% |
| LOSS | Horsham - Salisbury FC | 2.90 | 5.52% |
| WIN | Puskas Academy II - Komarom VSE | 2.75 | 5.52% |
| LOSS | Lyn 1896 II - Fram | 3.00 | 5.52% |
| LOSS | Debreceni VSC - Nyiregyhaza Spartacus | 2.80 | 5.52% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braintree Town - Chesham | 2 | 3.00 | 5.52% | 15 Aug 16:00 |
| SFK Vrchovina - FC Trinity Zlin B | 2 | 2.90 | 5.52% | 15 Aug 16:30 |
| NK Podvinci - NK Odranci | 2 | 2.90 | 5.52% | 15 Aug 17:30 |
| BKMA FC - Ararat Yerevan | 2 | 3.00 | 5.52% | 15 Aug 17:30 |
| Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz - Vysocina Jihlava | 2 | 2.75 | 5.52% | 15 Aug 18:00 |
| AC Carpi - US Pianese | 2 | 3.10 | 5.52% | 15 Aug 21:00 |
| Guabira - The Strongest | 2 | 2.75 | 5.52% | 15 Aug 23:15 |
| OFK Malzenice - MSK Povazska Bystrica | 2 | 3.10 | 5.52% | 16 Aug 10:30 |