Model: TipTromba3H

Unia Skierniewice vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

PREDICTION

@ 2.50

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffLug 04, 2026 1:00 PM

ResultLOSS0 - 1

StartStarted 6h 36m ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.55% · n=255

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 23h 35m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Unia Skierniewice. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Unia Skierniewice

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

39/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Unia SkierniewiceHOME

Pogon Grodzisk MazowieckiAWAY

LWLLW

Recent form

WLDDL

Avg goals scored

1.80

0.60

Defensive weakness

1.40

1.00

Shots on target for

4.40

3.20

SoT conceded pressure

3.20

3.80

Home splitL-L-W-W-D1.60 scored / 1.40 conceded

Away splitW-L-D-L-L1.00 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.50. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.55% based on n=255 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.50

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.55% · n=255

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Unia Skierniewice is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 77.1% 7D: 71.6% 15D: 33.7% 30D: 12.2%

Model insight

Unia Skierniewice – Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.50. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba3H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.55% across 255 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample106

Win Rate36.8%

Profit-4.23u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Ehime FC (W) - Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)	2.75	4.49%
WIN	Polissya Zhytomyr - CSKA Sofia	2.75	4.49%
LOSS	Joy AC (W) - Minnesota Bliss (W)	2.70	2.55%
LOSS	Auckland FC II - Western Springs AFC	2.75	4.49%
LOSS	FC Gori - FC Gareji	2.55	2.55%
LOSS	Atlantis FC/PM - MPS/Atletico Malmi	2.63	2.55%
LOSS	Dulwich Hill - Central Coast Mariners U21	2.75	4.49%
LOSS	Scherpenheuvel - Inter Willemstad	2.50	2.55%

Pick

1 @ 2.50

Kickoff

Lug 04, 2026 1:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 2.55% • n=255

Start

Started 6h 36m ago

Updated

Updated 23h 35m ago