Peamount Utd (W) – Athlone Town (W)

Model: TipTromba4H

Peamount Utd (W) vs Athlone Town (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.75
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 04, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 2
StartStarted 4h 21m ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.09% · n=255
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.09% · n=255
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Peamount Utd (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Peamount Utd (W)

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Balanced

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

55/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.83First seen
Current3.75Now
Max odds3.83Highest point
Min odds3.75Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Peamount Utd (W)HOME
VS
Athlone Town (W)AWAY
LDLWW
Recent form
WWLWW
Avg goals scored
1.60
2.20
Defensive weakness
2.00
1.00
Shots on target for
6.00
5.00
SoT conceded pressure
3.80
2.00
Home splitL-W-L-D2.25 scored / 2.00 conceded
Away splitW-L-W2.33 scored / 1.33 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.75. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.09% based on n=255 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Republic of Ireland FAI Cup Women (ie). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.75
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.09% · n=255
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.09% · n=255
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The selection carries significant risk according to both market expectations and recent form indicators. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Peamount Utd (W) has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 46.9% 7D: 76.7% 15D: 29.9% 30D: 12.4%
Model insight

Peamount Utd (W) – Athlone Town (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.75. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba4H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.09% and 4.09%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample78
Win Rate33.3%
Profit+18.55u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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WINKingston City - Nunawading3.804.09%
WINFC Solothurn - Young Boys II3.904.09%
WINSalus - Durazno3.604.85%
LOSSPonnistus - TuPS3.904.09%
LOSSVolsungur - Grotta Seltjarnarnes3.604.85%
WINFC Miami City (W) - Sporting JAX (W)3.603.99%
Pick
1 @ 3.75
Kickoff
Lug 04, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.09% • n=255
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.09% • n=255
Start
Started 4h 21m ago
Updated
Updated 1d ago
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