Salus – Durazno

Model: TipTromba4H

Salus vs Durazno

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.60
StatusUpcoming
KickoffGiu 27, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 13h 28m
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.85% · n=71
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.85% · n=71
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 14m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Salus. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Salus

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

56/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.60First seen
Current3.79Now
Max odds3.79Highest point
Min odds3.60Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

SalusHOME
VS
DuraznoAWAY
WWLW
Recent form
LLL
Avg goals scored
3.00
0.00
Defensive weakness
0.50
1.00
Shots on target for
7.50
2.67
SoT conceded pressure
3.25
3.00
Home splitW4.00 scored / 0.00 conceded
Away splitL-L0.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.60. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.85% based on n=71 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Uruguay Primera Division Amateur (uy). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.60
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.85% · n=71
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.85% · n=71
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Salus. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Salus has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: 75.0% 7D: -18.6% 15D: -3.6% 30D: -3.3%
Model insight

Salus – Durazno Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.60. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba4H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.85% and 4.85%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample54
Win Rate35.2%
Profit+15.65u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINFC Miami City (W) - Sporting JAX (W)3.603.99%
WINMagallanes - Palestino3.754.09%
LOSSSouths United - Moreton City Excelsior B3.503.99%
LOSSSwarm FC (W) - Asheville City SC (W)3.754.09%
LOSSAtletico River Plate Reserves - Montevideo Wanderers Reserves3.503.99%
WINDinamo Batumi - Dila Gori3.804.84%
LOSSFC Wagadou - Colley Stars3.603.99%
LOSSAdelaide United NPL - Adelaide City3.804.09%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Volsungur - Grotta Seltjarnarnes13.604.85%27 Jun 17:00
Pick
1 @ 3.60
Kickoff
Giu 27, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.85% • n=71
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.85% • n=71
Start
Starts in 13h 28m
Updated
Updated 14m ago
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