Macau Chiba FC vs Cheng Fung
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Macau Chiba FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Macau Chiba FCValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.73. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.89% based on n=1157 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Macau 1st Division (mo). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
Market expectations and recent results both point toward Macau Chiba FC as the more reliable side. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Macau Chiba FC has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Macau Chiba FC – Cheng Fung Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Brasil de Pelotas - Santa Cruz RS | 1.60 | -3.38% |
| WIN | Club Brugge - KV Kortrijk | 1.53 | -3.38% |
| WIN | Midtjylland - Silkeborg IF | 1.50 | -3.82% |
| WIN | Fukuyama City FC - SRC Hiroshima | 1.53 | -1.89% |
| LOSS | SK Sturm Graz - FC Kosice | 1.50 | -1.89% |
| LOSS | FK Jablonec - FK Usti nad Labem | 1.50 | -1.89% |
| WIN | Lions FC (W) - Brisbane Olympic FC (W) | 1.67 | -3.38% |
| WIN | Salvo SC (W) - St Croix SC (W) | 1.57 | -3.82% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| APIA Leichardt (W) - NWS Spirit (W) | 1 | 1.65 | -1.89% | 05 Jul 08:50 |
| Ha Noi (W) - Ha Nam (W) | 1 | 1.57 | -3.82% | 05 Jul 11:00 |
| CA Douglas Haig - Sportivo Las Parejas | 1 | 1.70 | -3.38% | 05 Jul 20:00 |