Model: TipTromba2H

Brasil de Pelotas vs Santa Cruz RS

PREDICTION

@ 1.60

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 05, 2026 2:00 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1d

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.38% · n=1115

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 49m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Brasil de Pelotas. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Brasil de Pelotas

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

7/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.60First seen

Current1.62Now

Max odds1.62Highest point

Min odds1.60Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Brasil de PelotasHOME

Santa Cruz RSAWAY

DDWDD

Recent form

DDDDW

Avg goals scored

2.00

1.60

Defensive weakness

1.20

Shots on target for

7.20

3.60

SoT conceded pressure

2.40

4.60

Home splitW-L-W-D-W1.60 scored / 0.40 conceded

Away splitD-D-W1.33 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.60. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.38% based on n=1115 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Copa Gaucho (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.60

V2 BandNONEROI -3.38% · n=1115

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

At a short price, the selection appears more probability-based than value-driven. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Brasil de Pelotas has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 102.8% 7D: 97.9% 15D: 35.9% 30D: 13.3%

Model insight

Brasil de Pelotas – Santa Cruz RS Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.60. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -3.38% across 1115 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample349

Win Rate65.3%

Profit+17.50u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	SK Sturm Graz - FC Kosice	1.50	-1.89%
LOSS	FK Jablonec - FK Usti nad Labem	1.50	-1.89%
WIN	Salvo SC (W) - St Croix SC (W)	1.57	-3.82%
WIN	Kultsu FC - MiPK	1.55	-3.82%
WIN	Deportivo Garcilaso - Deportivo Binacional	1.53	-3.38%
WIN	Penarol Reserves - Liverpool Montevideo Reserves	1.67	-3.38%
WIN	Italy U19 - Serbia U19	1.50	-1.89%
WIN	Union Luxembourg - FC Etzella Ettelbruck	1.62	-1.89%

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Pick

1 @ 1.60

Kickoff

Lug 05, 2026 2:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -3.38% • n=1115

Start

Starts in 1d

Updated

Updated 49m ago