Model: TipTromba2H

Brasil de Pelotas vs Santa Cruz RS

PREDICTION

@ 1.60

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffLug 05, 2026 2:00 AM

ResultWIN1 - 0

StartStarted 47d 11h ago

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.38% · n=1115

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 47d 14h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Brasil de Pelotas. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Brasil de PelotasGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

7/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.60First seen

Current1.58Now

Max odds1.62Highest point

Min odds1.57Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Brasil de PelotasHOME

Santa Cruz RSAWAY

WDDWD

Recent form

LDDDD

Avg goals scored

2.00

1.00

Defensive weakness

1.00

1.20

Shots on target for

7.20

3.60

SoT conceded pressure

2.40

4.60

Home splitW-W-L-W-D1.40 scored / 0.40 conceded

Away splitL-D-D-W1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.60. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.38% based on n=1115 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Copa Gaucho (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.60

V2 BandNONEROI -3.38% · n=1115

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The low odds suggest strong market confidence, and the available form indicators generally support that view. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Brasil de Pelotas's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 27.3% 7D: 52.5% 15D: 26.1% 30D: 11.2%

Model insight

Brasil de Pelotas – Santa Cruz RS Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.60. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -3.38% across 1115 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample543

Win Rate64.6%

Profit+20.58u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Orsomarso (W) - Deportivo Pasto (W)	1.57	-3.38%
WIN	Lillehammer U19 - Asker U19	1.57	-3.82%
WIN	Navalcarnero - Torrejon	1.67	-3.38%
WIN	Zaglebie Sosnowiec - Sleza Wroclaw	1.53	-1.89%
WIN	ROW 1964 Rybnik - Carina Gubin	1.70	-1.89%
LOSS	Kluczevia Stargard - Gedania Gdansk	1.50	-1.89%
WIN	ND Ilirija U19 - NK Rudar Velenje U19	1.70	-3.38%
LOSS	Boston Utd - Birmingham U21	1.73	-1.89%

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Pick

1 @ 1.60

Kickoff

Lug 05, 2026 2:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -3.38% • n=1115

Start

Started 47d 11h ago

Updated

Updated 47d 14h ago