St. James Swifts (W) – Sion Swifts (W)

Model: TipA1

St. James Swifts (W) vs Sion Swifts (W)

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.05
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 10, 2026 10:45 PM
ResultWIN0 - 5
StartStarted 14h 21m ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.85% · n=318
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.85% · n=318
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 15h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Sion Swifts (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Sion Swifts (W)

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

12/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.55First seen
Current2.07Now
Max odds2.07Highest point
Min odds1.55Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

St. James Swifts (W)HOME
VS
Sion Swifts (W)AWAY
LLWWW
Recent form
WWWDW
Avg goals scored
2.80
3.40
Defensive weakness
2.00
0.40
Shots on target for
6.80
9.20
SoT conceded pressure
8.20
2.20
Home splitL-W-W-W3.50 scored / 2.00 conceded
Away splitW-W-W-W-W4.20 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.05. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.85% based on n=318 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Northern Ireland Championship Women (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.05
V2 BandNONEROI -3.85% · n=318
V4 BandNONEROI -3.85% · n=318
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Sion Swifts (W) is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 61.0% 7D: 0.5% 15D: 31.9% 30D: 13.5%
Model insight

St. James Swifts (W) – Sion Swifts (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.05. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -3.85% and -3.85%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample158
Win Rate50.6%
Profit+8.35u
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LOSSFC Honka (W) - EBK (W)2.05-3.85%
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Pick
2 @ 2.05
Kickoff
Lug 10, 2026 10:45 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -3.85% • n=318
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-3.85% • n=318
Start
Started 14h 21m ago
Updated
Updated 1d 15h ago
Torna in alto