Model: TipA1

FK Atyrau vs FC Elimai Semey

PREDICTION

@ 2.15

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 12, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1d 11h

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.48% · n=691

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 6h 29m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FC Elimai Semey. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FC Elimai Semey

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

21/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.33First seen

Current2.28Now

Max odds2.33Highest point

Min odds2.28Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FK AtyrauHOME

FC Elimai SemeyAWAY

LLWDD

Recent form

DWWLL

Avg goals scored

1.00

1.20

Defensive weakness

1.40

1.20

Shots on target for

4.00

4.80

SoT conceded pressure

4.80

4.60

Home splitL-D-W-W-L0.80 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitD-W-W-D-L1.40 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.15. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.48% based on n=691 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Kazakhstan Premier League (kz). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.15

V2 BandNONEROI -1.48% · n=691

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 122.3% 7D: 6.2% 15D: 36.1% 30D: 13.5%

Model insight

FK Atyrau – FC Elimai Semey Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.15. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -1.48% across 691 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample158

Win Rate50.6%

Profit+8.35u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	St. James Swifts (W) - Sion Swifts (W)	2.05	-3.85%
LOSS	Holland Park Hawks U23 - North Star U23	2.10	-3.85%
WIN	Osasco Sporting U20 - Ibrachina U20	2.00	-1.48%
LOSS	Selfoss/Arborg U19 - Grotta/Kria U19	2.10	-1.48%
LOSS	Ponte Preta U20 - Santos U20	2.10	-1.48%
LOSS	FC Honka (W) - EBK (W)	2.05	-3.85%
LOSS	Rockdale Ilinden FC U20 - NWS Spirit FC U20	2.10	-3.85%
WIN	Eastern Suburbs - Peninsula Power	2.20	-3.85%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Defensa y Justicia U20 - Belgrano U20	2	2.20	-1.48%	11 Jul 14:00
JK Nomme United II - FC Flora Tallinn II	2	2.15	-1.48%	12 Jul 18:00

Pick

2 @ 2.15

Kickoff

Lug 12, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -1.48% • n=691

Start

Starts in 1d 11h

Updated

Updated 6h 29m ago