Model: TipTromba2H

Mitsubishi Nagasaki SC vs Nexus Miyakonojo

PREDICTION

@ 1.80

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffLug 12, 2026 5:00 AM

ResultWIN2 - 0

StartStarted 6h 23m ago

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.17% · n=215

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.17% · n=215

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 11h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Mitsubishi Nagasaki SC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Mitsubishi Nagasaki SC

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

44/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Mitsubishi Nagasaki SCHOME

Nexus MiyakonojoAWAY

WLDDL

Recent form

LWLLL

Avg goals scored

0.60

1.00

Defensive weakness

1.00

3.20

Shots on target for

4.00

3.60

SoT conceded pressure

4.60

8.80

Home splitW-L-D-L-W1.00 scored / 1.20 conceded

Away splitL-L-L-W-W1.40 scored / 2.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.80. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.17% based on n=215 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Japan Regional League (jp). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.80

V2 BandHIGHROI 6.17% · n=215

V4 BandHIGHROI 6.17% · n=215

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Mitsubishi Nagasaki SC. Historical model data adds support here, as similar HIGH selections have produced encouraging results.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 128.1% 7D: 24.4% 15D: 38.6% 30D: 15.3%

Model insight

Mitsubishi Nagasaki SC – Nexus Miyakonojo Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.80. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.17% and 6.17%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample191

Win Rate57.6%

Profit+9.83u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Mlada Boleslav - FC Silon Taborsko	1.91	6.89%
WIN	Manly Utd (W) - Gladesville Ravens (W)	1.80	6.89%
WIN	FH Hafnarfjordur (W) - Throttur Reykjavik (W)	1.67	7.81%
LOSS	Club Olimpia de Ita - 12 De Octubre San Domingo	1.80	6.89%
WIN	FK Teplice - FC Silon Taborsko	1.80	6.17%
WIN	FK Radnicki 1923 - Buducnost Podgorica	1.91	6.89%
WIN	Nelson Suburbs - Northern AFC	1.73	6.49%
WIN	Sao Goncalo - Audax Rio	1.95	7.35%

Pick

1 @ 1.80

Kickoff

Lug 12, 2026 5:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 6.17% • n=215

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

6.17% • n=215

Start

Started 6h 23m ago

Updated

Updated 1d 11h ago