Linfield vs Aberdeen
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Linfield. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: LinfieldValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.75. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -0.67% based on n=99 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UK Friendlies (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Linfield has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Linfield – Aberdeen Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | City Lads FC (W) - First Touch Academy (W) | 4.75 | -1.13% |
| LOSS | Shkendija Tetovo - Hajduk Split | 4.75 | -1.13% |
| LOSS | Atletico Sucre - Universitario de Sucre | 4.75 | -1.13% |
| LOSS | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador (W) - LDU Quito (W) | 4.75 | -1.13% |
| LOSS | Stranraer - Larne FC | 4.75 | -1.13% |
| LOSS | Shenzhen Juniors - Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 4.75 | -1.13% |
| WIN | Sao Jose MA - Tupan MA | 4.75 | -1.13% |
| WIN | Samgurali - FC Iberia 1999 | 4.75 | -1.13% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balzan FC - Valletta | 1 | 4.80 | -0.67% | 11 Jul 18:15 |