Chapecoense U20 – Figueirense U20

Model: TipTromba2H

Chapecoense U20 vs Figueirense U20

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.70
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 11, 2026 5:00 PM
ResultWIN5 - 0
StartStarted 16h 10m ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.82% · n=495
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.82% · n=495
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 9h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Chapecoense U20. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Chapecoense U20

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

7/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.67First seen
Current1.70Now
Max odds1.70Highest point
Min odds1.67Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Chapecoense U20HOME
VS
Figueirense U20AWAY
WWWWW
Recent form
LLWDL
Avg goals scored
3.60
0.80
Defensive weakness
0.80
2.00
Shots on target for
7.60
3.00
SoT conceded pressure
2.80
5.20
Home splitW-W-W-W-D2.80 scored / 0.40 conceded
Away splitL-L-D-L-D0.20 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.70. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.82% based on n=495 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Campeonato Catarinense U20 (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.70
V2 BandNONEROI -3.82% · n=495
V4 BandNONEROI -3.82% · n=495
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The low odds suggest strong market confidence, and the available form indicators generally support that view. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Chapecoense U20 has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 54.5% 7D: 12.3% 15D: 34.1% 30D: 14.7%
Model insight

Chapecoense U20 – Figueirense U20 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.70. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -3.82% and -3.82%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample370
Win Rate65.7%
Profit+20.62u
Historical Similar Predictions
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LOSSRhode Island FC - Brooklyn FC1.50-3.38%
WINFC Tucson - Capo FC1.70-1.89%
WINCanterbury Bankstown FC - Prospect United1.50-1.89%
LOSSPort Melbourne U23 - North Sunshine Eagles U231.60-1.89%
Pick
1 @ 1.70
Kickoff
Lug 11, 2026 5:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -3.82% • n=495
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-3.82% • n=495
Start
Started 16h 10m ago
Updated
Updated 1d 9h ago
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