Darmstadt vs FC 08 Homburg
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Darmstadt. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: DarmstadtValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.50. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.89% based on n=1157 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
The odds suggest a clear favorite, although the recent form gap is not as dominant as the price might imply. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Darmstadt's attacking profile.
Darmstadt – FC 08 Homburg Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Chapecoense U20 - Figueirense U20 | 1.70 | -3.82% |
| LOSS | Ironbound - Manhattan SC | 1.65 | -1.89% |
| LOSS | Seacoast United Phantoms - AC Connecticut | 1.60 | -1.89% |
| WIN | FC Copenhagen - AC Horsens | 1.67 | -1.89% |
| WIN | Managua FC - Rancho Santana FC | 1.62 | -3.38% |
| LOSS | Rhode Island FC - Brooklyn FC | 1.50 | -3.38% |
| WIN | FC Tucson - Capo FC | 1.70 | -1.89% |
| WIN | Canterbury Bankstown FC - Prospect United | 1.50 | -1.89% |