Polissya Zhytomyr – Shimizu S-Pulse

Model: TIPPSH

Polissya Zhytomyr vs Shimizu S-Pulse

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.82
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 14, 2026 1:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 3
StartStarted 17h 16m ago
V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 9.18% · n=29
V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 9.18% · n=29
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 20h 18m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Polissya Zhytomyr. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Polissya Zhytomyr

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

54/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.73First seen
Current1.85Now
Max odds1.85Highest point
Min odds1.66Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Polissya ZhytomyrHOME
VS
Shimizu S-PulseAWAY
LWDWW
Recent form
WLDLL
Avg goals scored
3.60
1.00
Defensive weakness
1.00
1.80
Shots on target for
8.40
2.80
SoT conceded pressure
2.60
3.00
Home splitL-D-W-W-W2.20 scored / 0.80 conceded
Away splitW-L-L-W-D1.20 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.82. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 9.18% based on n=29 historical similar picks. The match belongs to World Club Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.82
V2 BandELITEROI 9.18% · n=29
V4 BandELITEROI 9.18% · n=29
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. The ELITE confidence band reinforces the selection, with comparable historical cases showing a stronger expected profile. Polissya Zhytomyr is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: -16.9% 7D: 3.9% 15D: 20.7% 30D: 15.3%
Model insight

Polissya Zhytomyr – Shimizu S-Pulse Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.82. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 9.18% and 9.18%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample4
Win Rate75.0%
Profit+1.74u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINPortuguesa Desportos - Marcilio Dias1.798.87%
WINFerroviaria SP - Barra FC1.908.87%
LOSSWales - Ghana1.958.87%
WINHapoel Raanana (W) - Maccabi Kishronot Hadera (W)2.059.18%
Pick
1 @ 1.82
Kickoff
Lug 14, 2026 1:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: ELITE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 9.18% • n=29
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
9.18% • n=29
Start
Started 17h 16m ago
Updated
Updated 20h 18m ago
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