Model: TIPPSH

Ferroviaria SP vs Barra FC

PREDICTION

@ 2.18

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffGiu 16, 2026 3:30 AM

ResultWIN1 - 0

StartStarted 49d 20h ago

V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 8.87% · n=104

V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 8.87% · n=104

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 49d 22h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Ferroviaria SP. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Ferroviaria SPGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

58/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.27First seen

Current2.18Now

Max odds2.48Highest point

Min odds2.10Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Ferroviaria SPHOME

Barra FCAWAY

WDWWL

Recent form

LDLDL

Avg goals scored

1.20

0.60

Defensive weakness

0.80

1.40

Shots on target for

4.20

2.60

SoT conceded pressure

3.00

5.00

Home splitW-W-L-W-D1.00 scored / 0.60 conceded

Away splitL-D-L-W-D1.00 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.18. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 8.87% based on n=104 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie C (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.18

V2 BandELITEROI 8.87% · n=104

V4 BandELITEROI 8.87% · n=104

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Ferroviaria SP. The confidence band strengthens the case for the pick beyond the basic market price. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Ferroviaria SP's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: 31.9% 7D: 2.8% 15D: 0.9% 30D: 14.4%

Model insight

Ferroviaria SP – Barra FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.18. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 8.87% and 8.87%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample16

Win Rate56.3%

Profit+4.48u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	AZS UJ Krakow (W) - Slask Wroclaw (W)	2.40	8.94%
WIN	Versailles 78 - FC Fleury 91	2.15	8.87%
LOSS	Slavia Prague B - FK Pribram	2.01	8.87%
WIN	Spokane Velocity FC - Charlotte Independence	2.27	8.94%
LOSS	Servette - Basel	2.40	8.94%
LOSS	Vaengir Jupiters - Ellidi	1.96	8.87%
WIN	Dalian Young Boy - Shandong Taishan	2.28	8.94%
LOSS	Farul Constanta - Otelul Galati	2.30	8.94%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
FC Arges Pitesti - Petrolul Ploiesti	1	2.43	8.94%	24 Jul 20:30
FC Emmen - Roda JC	1	2.28	8.94%	07 Aug 20:00

Pick

1 @ 2.18

Kickoff

Giu 16, 2026 3:30 AM

Confidence

CONF: ELITE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 8.87% • n=104

Confidence V4

CONF V4: ELITE

Exp. ROI V4

8.87% • n=104

Start

Started 49d 20h ago

Updated

Updated 49d 22h ago