Model: TipTromba3H

Bonsucesso FC vs Madureira RJ

PREDICTION

@ 2.70

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffLug 15, 2026 9:45 PM

ResultLOSS2 - 2

StartStarted 12h 20m ago

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI 0.00% · n=230

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 13h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Bonsucesso FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Bonsucesso FC

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

32/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.10First seen

Current2.70Now

Max odds3.10Highest point

Min odds2.70Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Bonsucesso FCHOME

Madureira RJAWAY

DWWDL

Recent form

DWLDL

Avg goals scored

1.20

Defensive weakness

1.20

2.00

Shots on target for

3.00

3.20

SoT conceded pressure

3.00

5.40

Home splitD-W-W-L-W2.40 scored / 1.40 conceded

Away splitD-L-L-L-D1.00 scored / 2.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.70. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of 0.00% based on n=230 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Copa Rio (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.70

V2 BandNONEROI 0.00% · n=230

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, Bonsucesso FC has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: -31.4% 7D: 8.8% 15D: 23.2% 30D: 15.4%

Model insight

Bonsucesso FC – Madureira RJ Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.70. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba3H model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of 0.00% across 230 similar predictions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample17

Win Rate29.4%

Profit-3.97u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Buenos Aires City - Ezeiza	2.55	0.00%
WIN	East Fife - Morton	2.63	0.00%
LOSS	Atletico Colegiales - 24 de Setiembre	2.55	0.00%
LOSS	FC Cascavel - Marcilio Dias	2.63	0.00%
LOSS	Dynamo Kiev - Slavia Prague	2.63	0.00%
WIN	Uribelarrea FC - Barrancas FC	2.70	0.00%
LOSS	Sollentuna United FF - FBK Karlstad	2.50	0.00%
LOSS	Jaguar Gdansk - Czarni Pruszcz Gdanski	2.50	0.00%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Eastern Lions - Bayside Argonauts FC	1	2.60	0.00%	17 Jul 11:45

Pick

1 @ 2.70

Kickoff

Lug 15, 2026 9:45 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 0.00% • n=230

Start

Started 12h 20m ago

Updated

Updated 1d 13h ago