East Fife – Morton

Model: TIPPSH

East Fife vs Morton

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.98
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 14, 2026 10:45 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 20h 48m
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.04% · n=113
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 10m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is East Fife. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: East Fife

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

42/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.65First seen
Current2.98Now
Max odds2.98Highest point
Min odds2.65Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

East FifeHOME
VS
MortonAWAY
DDDLW
Recent form
LDDLD
Avg goals scored
0.80
0.20
Defensive weakness
1.00
1.20
Shots on target for
3.40
2.00
SoT conceded pressure
3.40
4.40
Home splitD-W1.50 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitL-L-L1.00 scored / 3.33 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.98. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.04% based on n=113 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Scotland League Cup (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.98
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.04% · n=113
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, East Fife has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. East Fife has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: -6.8% 7D: 8.9% 15D: 24.2% 30D: 16.8%
Model insight

East Fife – Morton Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.98. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.04% across 113 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample22
Win Rate27.3%
Profit-4.61u
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WINDelaware FC - Real Central NJ2.804.53%
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Pick
1 @ 2.98
Kickoff
Lug 14, 2026 10:45 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.04% • n=113
Start
Starts in 20h 48m
Updated
Updated 10m ago
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