St George Willawong FC vs Caboolture FC
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is St George Willawong FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: St George Willawong FCValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.60. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 7.69% based on n=113 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Queensland Premier League (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. The HIGH confidence band is important here: similar higher-priced setups have historically produced positive model results. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to St George Willawong FC's attacking profile.
St George Willawong FC – Caboolture FC Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Shinnik Yaroslavl - PFC Sochi | 3.38 | 7.69% |
| WIN | FK Minija - Panevezys | 3.37 | 7.69% |
| WIN | HUSA Agadir - RSB Berkane | 3.82 | 5.87% |
| LOSS | El Salvador (W) - Costa Rica (W) | 3.70 | 7.69% |
| LOSS | Club 9 de Octubre - Manta FC | 3.70 | 7.69% |
| LOSS | Wil 1900 - FC Vaduz | 3.60 | 6.76% |