Shinnik Yaroslavl – PFC Sochi

Model: TIPPSH

Shinnik Yaroslavl vs PFC Sochi

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.38
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 12, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 2
StartStarted 46d 16h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 7.69% · n=113
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 7.69% · n=113
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 47d 10h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Shinnik Yaroslavl. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Shinnik YaroslavlGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

65/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.46First seen
Current3.61Now
Max odds4.46Highest point
Min odds3.61Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Shinnik YaroslavlHOME
VS
PFC SochiAWAY
DDDWW
Recent form
DDLWL
Avg goals scored
1.80
1.40
Defensive weakness
1.00
1.60
Shots on target for
6.00
3.60
SoT conceded pressure
4.00
6.40
Home splitD-D-W-W-D1.60 scored / 0.60 conceded
Away splitD-L-L-W-W1.00 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.38. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 7.69% based on n=113 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Russia Division 1 (ru). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.38
V2 BandHIGHROI 7.69% · n=113
V4 BandHIGHROI 7.69% · n=113
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, Shinnik Yaroslavl shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. The HIGH confidence band is important here: similar higher-priced setups have historically produced positive model results. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Shinnik Yaroslavl's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 17.6% 7D: 14.3% 15D: 36.8% 30D: 14.7%
Model insight

Shinnik Yaroslavl – PFC Sochi Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.38. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 7.69% and 7.69%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample11
Win Rate36.4%
Profit+2.48u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINNumancia - Real Zaragoza3.607.69%
LOSSWaldhof Mannheim - Kaiserslautern3.277.69%
LOSSDC Power (W) - Carolina Ascent (W)3.427.69%
LOSSPortugal U20 (W) - England U20 (W)3.467.69%
LOSSFK Zalgiris Vilnius - Hajduk Split3.527.69%
LOSSBrisbane Roar - Sydney FC3.407.69%
WINReal Murcia - Eldense3.347.69%
WINFK Minija - Panevezys3.377.69%
Pick
1 @ 3.38
Kickoff
Lug 12, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 7.69% • n=113
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
7.69% • n=113
Start
Started 46d 16h ago
Updated
Updated 47d 10h ago
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