FK Auda – FK Liepaja

Model: TipTromba2H

FK Auda vs FK Liepaja

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.83
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 19, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 22h 20m
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 7.35% · n=470
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 7.35% · n=470
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 7h 43m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FK Auda. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FK Auda

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

48/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.96First seen
Current1.87Now
Max odds1.96Highest point
Min odds1.83Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FK AudaHOME
VS
FK LiepajaAWAY
WDLDW
Recent form
WLWLW
Avg goals scored
0.80
1.60
Defensive weakness
0.60
1.00
Shots on target for
3.40
4.00
SoT conceded pressure
3.60
5.40
Home splitW-L-D-W-W1.40 scored / 0.80 conceded
Away splitW-L-L-L-L0.60 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.83. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 7.35% based on n=470 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Latvia Virsliga (lv). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.83
V2 BandHIGHROI 7.35% · n=470
V4 BandHIGHROI 7.35% · n=470
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. The model places this selection in a historically favorable confidence range.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 9.1% 7D: 5.0% 15D: 5.4% 30D: 17.4%
Model insight

FK Auda – FK Liepaja Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.83. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 7.35% and 7.35%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample197
Win Rate55.8%
Profit+4.47u
Historical Similar Predictions
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WINASK Voitsberg - NK Bistrica1.906.89%
LOSSToluca U19 (W) - Club America U19 (W)1.837.35%
LOSSShanghai Shenhua (W) - Chongqing Olympic (W)1.916.17%
WINItapirense U20 - America SP U201.837.35%
LOSSFC LeKi - TP-T1.606.49%
LOSSBulleen Lions (W) - Essendon Royals (W)1.917.35%
WINNEC - V-Varen Nagasaki1.626.49%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Nankatsu SC - Toin Yokohama University11.807.35%19 Jul 11:00
Pick
1 @ 1.83
Kickoff
Lug 19, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 7.35% • n=470
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
7.35% • n=470
Start
Starts in 22h 20m
Updated
Updated 7h 43m ago
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