Model: TipA1

FK Ekranas vs BFA Vilnius

PREDICTION

@ 2.10

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 19, 2026 8:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1d 23h

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.75% · n=380

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 8m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is BFA Vilnius. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: BFA Vilnius

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

39/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.27First seen

Current2.23Now

Max odds2.27Highest point

Min odds2.23Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FK EkranasHOME

BFA VilniusAWAY

LLLLL

Recent form

WWLLL

Avg goals scored

0.60

0.80

Defensive weakness

2.20

1.40

Shots on target for

2.80

4.80

SoT conceded pressure

5.80

1.60

Home splitL-L-W-W-L1.60 scored / 1.40 conceded

Away splitW-L-W-L-W1.60 scored / 2.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.10. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.75% based on n=380 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Lithuania 1 Lyga (lt). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.10

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.75% · n=380

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives BFA Vilnius a useful statistical edge. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. BFA Vilnius has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: 5.0% 7D: -1.0% 15D: 2.7% 30D: 17.3%

Model insight

FK Ekranas – BFA Vilnius Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.10. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.75% across 380 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample106

Win Rate41.5%

Profit-9.70u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	EDO ALL United - Nankatsu SC	2.25	4.27%
LOSS	Central Ballester - General Lamadrid	2.30	4.27%
WIN	Orange County SC - Colorado Switchbacks FC	2.25	4.27%
WIN	Anapolis FC - Maringa FC	2.30	4.27%
LOSS	Union FC Macomb - AFC Ann Arbor	2.25	4.27%
LOSS	Qingdao Hainiu U20 - Nantong Zhiyun U20	2.25	4.27%
WIN	Linfield - Kilmarnock	2.00	3.75%
WIN	Hurstville FC - Canterbury Bankstown FC	2.20	3.75%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
FK Pribram - FSV Frankfurt	2	2.00	3.75%	18 Jul 16:00

Pick

2 @ 2.10

Kickoff

Lug 19, 2026 8:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 3.75% • n=380

Start

Starts in 1d 23h

Updated

Updated 8m ago