Stomilanki Olsztyn (W) – APLG Gdansk (W)

Model: TipTromba45H

Stomilanki Olsztyn (W) vs APLG Gdansk (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 4.20
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 18, 2026 2:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 3
StartStarted 44d 17h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=258
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=258
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 44d 19h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Stomilanki Olsztyn (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Stomilanki Olsztyn (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

60/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds5.00First seen
Current4.37Now
Max odds6.07Highest point
Min odds4.32Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Stomilanki Olsztyn (W)HOME
VS
APLG Gdansk (W)AWAY
LLDLL
Recent form
WLWLL
Avg goals scored
0.60
1.20
Defensive weakness
3.40
1.80
Shots on target for
1.80
2.80
SoT conceded pressure
5.20
5.80
Home splitL-L-L0.67 scored / 2.67 conceded
Away splitW-L-L-L0.75 scored / 1.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.20. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.86% based on n=258 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Women’s Friendly. Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd4.20
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.86% · n=258
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.86% · n=258
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 15.2% 7D: 10.3% 15D: 7.1% 30D: 18.9%
Model insight

Stomilanki Olsztyn (W) – APLG Gdansk (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.20. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba45H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.86% and 4.86%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample72
Win Rate20.8%
Profit-10.41u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSCriollos De Caguas - Ponce FC4.004.86%
LOSSTatran Kohoutovice - Tatran Rousinov4.004.86%
LOSSWestern City Rangers U20 - Northern Tigers U204.004.86%
LOSSUnion Adarve - Getafe B4.004.86%
LOSSPlanalto EC U20 - Trindade U204.334.19%
LOSSGrosseto - Spezia4.102.97%
LOSSLocarno - FC Tuggen4.202.97%
LOSSHvezda Cheb - Slovan Velvary4.204.86%
Pick
1 @ 4.20
Kickoff
Lug 18, 2026 2:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.86% • n=258
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.86% • n=258
Start
Started 44d 17h ago
Updated
Updated 44d 19h ago
Torna in alto