Locarno – FC Tuggen

Model: TipTromba45H

Locarno vs FC Tuggen

PREDICTION
1
@ 4.20
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 22, 2026 9:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 2
StartStarted 10m ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.97% · n=98
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.97% · n=98
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 2h 12m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Locarno. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: LocarnoGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

54/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.20First seen
Current4.20Now
Max odds5.22Highest point
Min odds4.20Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

LocarnoHOME
VS
FC TuggenAWAY
LLLWW
Recent form
WWLWL
Avg goals scored
2.00
2.00
Defensive weakness
1.80
1.80
Shots on target for
5.25
4.25
SoT conceded pressure
4.50
4.25
Home splitL-L-W-W2.25 scored / 1.75 conceded
Away splitW-L-W-W-L2.00 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.20. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.97% based on n=98 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Switzerland 1.Liga Classic (ch). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd4.20
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.97% · n=98
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 2.97% · n=98
Odds TrendStable
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Locarno's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 28.1% 7D: 23.9% 15D: 3.9% 30D: 3.8%
Model insight

Locarno – FC Tuggen Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.20. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba45H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.97% and 2.97%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample66
Win Rate22.7%
Profit-4.41u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSHvezda Cheb - Slovan Velvary4.204.86%
WINAtletico Barinas - Zamora4.202.97%
LOSSAFC Eskilstuna - IK Oddevold4.204.86%
WINJuventus Huamachuco FC - Juan Aurich4.002.97%
LOSSBiel Bienne - Aarau4.002.97%
WINSerpa - Vitoria Setubal4.004.86%
LOSSHope Internacional FC - AA Iguacu4.104.86%
LOSSCesky Brod - Sokol Nespeky4.002.97%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Grosseto - Spezia14.102.97%23 Aug 21:00
Pick
1 @ 4.20
Kickoff
Ago 22, 2026 9:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.97% • n=98
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.97% • n=98
Start
Started 10m ago
Updated
Updated 2h 12m ago
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