Model: TipTromba3H

CA Patrocinense vs Democrata SL

PREDICTION

@ 2.55

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 19, 2026 5:30 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 3h 26m

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI 0.00% · n=230

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 10h 15m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is CA Patrocinense. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: CA Patrocinense

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

31/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.55First seen

Current2.57Now

Max odds2.57Highest point

Min odds2.55Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

CA PatrocinenseHOME

Democrata SLAWAY

LLWLD

Recent form

DWLWW

Avg goals scored

0.40

1.80

Defensive weakness

0.80

0.60

Shots on target for

7.40

5.00

SoT conceded pressure

4.40

5.20

Home splitL-L-D-D-L0.40 scored / 1.20 conceded

Away splitD-L-L-D-W1.80 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.55. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of 0.00% based on n=230 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2 (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.55

V2 BandNONEROI 0.00% · n=230

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to CA Patrocinense's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 30.5% 7D: 12.3% 15D: 7.7% 30D: 18.6%

Model insight

CA Patrocinense – Democrata SL Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.55. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba3H model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of 0.00% across 230 similar predictions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample22

Win Rate31.8%

Profit-3.82u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Rapid Vienna - Hamburg	2.60	0.00%
LOSS	Cardiff MU - Brackley	2.63	0.00%
WIN	Hearts - Rayo Vallecano	2.55	0.00%
LOSS	Canterbury Bankstown FC - Blacktown Spartans	2.70	0.00%
LOSS	Eastern Lions - Bayside Argonauts FC	2.60	0.00%
LOSS	Buenos Aires City - Ezeiza	2.55	0.00%
WIN	East Fife - Morton	2.63	0.00%
LOSS	Atletico Colegiales - 24 de Setiembre	2.55	0.00%

Pick

1 @ 2.55

Kickoff

Lug 19, 2026 5:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 0.00% • n=230

Start

Starts in 3h 26m

Updated

Updated 10h 15m ago