FK Kyzylzhar (W) – FC Elimai Semey (W)

Model: TipA1

FK Kyzylzhar (W) vs FC Elimai Semey (W)

PREDICTION
2
@ 5.25
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 20, 2026 5:00 PM
ResultLOSS4 - 0
StartStarted 1d 5h ago
V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 10.89% · n=34
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 17h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FC Elimai Semey (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FC Elimai Semey (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

86/100
Excellent value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.00First seen
Current5.25Now
Max odds5.25Highest point
Min odds3.00Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FK Kyzylzhar (W)HOME
VS
FC Elimai Semey (W)AWAY
WLD
Recent form
LWW
Avg goals scored
2.33
2.33
Defensive weakness
2.00
2.00
Shots on target for
9.00
7.00
SoT conceded pressure
6.67
8.67
Home splitW4.00 scored / 0.00 conceded
Away splitL-W-W2.33 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 5.25. The V2 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 10.89% based on n=34 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Kazakhstan Super League Women (kz). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd5.25
V2 BandELITEROI 10.89% · n=34
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. Historical model performance remains supportive, with similar ELITE underdog setups showing encouraging long-term results.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 34.9% 7D: 25.9% 15D: 17.3% 30D: 21.4%
Model insight

FK Kyzylzhar (W) – FC Elimai Semey (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 5.25. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is ELITE, with a historical expected ROI of 10.89% across 34 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample6
Win Rate33.3%
Profit+4.50u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINCobresal - CD Antofagasta5.5010.89%
LOSSJuan Pablo II College - Club Ada Jaen5.5010.89%
LOSSYeronga FC - Mount Gravatt Hawks5.5010.89%
LOSSNantong Zhiyun U20 - Wenzhou Yincai U205.5010.89%
WINGalatasaray (W) - Trabzonspor (W)5.008.07%
LOSSYeronga FC - Ipswich Knights5.508.25%
Pick
2 @ 5.25
Kickoff
Lug 20, 2026 5:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: ELITE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 10.89% • n=34
Start
Started 1d 5h ago
Updated
Updated 1d 17h ago
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