Vasco da Gama (W) – Sao Paulo (W)

Model: TipTromba6H

Vasco da Gama (W) vs Sao Paulo (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 5.75
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 22, 2026 4:45 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 14h 45m
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.76% · n=22
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.76% · n=22
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 13m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Vasco da Gama (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Vasco da Gama (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: 0.052

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

41/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds5.75First seen
Current5.75Now
Max odds5.75Highest point
Min odds5.75Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Vasco da Gama (W)HOME
VS
Sao Paulo (W)AWAY
WWWDW
Recent form
LWWWL
Avg goals scored
3.00
1.60
Defensive weakness
1.00
0.60
Shots on target for
8.20
6.80
SoT conceded pressure
2.60
2.80
Home splitW-W-W-W-W4.60 scored / 0.60 conceded
Away splitL-W-L-W-D1.20 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 5.75. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.76% based on n=22 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Copa do Brazil Women (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1
Odd5.75
V2 BandNONEROI -1.76% · n=22
V4 BandNONEROI -1.76% · n=22
Odds TrendStable
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Vasco da Gama (W) has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 43.7% 7D: 24.8% 15D: 17.9% 30D: 20.3%
Model insight

Vasco da Gama (W) – Sao Paulo (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 5.75. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba6H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.76% and -1.76%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample7
Win Rate0.0%
Profit-7.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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LOSSDeportes Recoleta (W) - Santiago Wanderers (W)5.75-1.00%
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Pick
1 @ 5.75
Kickoff
Lug 22, 2026 4:45 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.76% • n=22
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.76% • n=22
Start
Starts in 14h 45m
Updated
Updated 13m ago
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