Vikingur Reykjavik – Hapoel Beer Sheva

Model: TIPPSH

Vikingur Reykjavik vs Hapoel Beer Sheva

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.56
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 21, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1d 1h
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 5m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Vikingur Reykjavik. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Vikingur ReykjavikGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.059 | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

36/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.28First seen
Current2.56Now
Max odds2.56Highest point
Min odds2.28Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Vikingur ReykjavikHOME
VS
Hapoel Beer ShevaAWAY
LDWWL
Recent form
LDWLL
Avg goals scored
1.40
1.80
Defensive weakness
1.80
2.80
Shots on target for
6.20
5.40
SoT conceded pressure
1.60
5.40
Home splitW-W-W-W-W3.40 scored / 0.40 conceded
Away splitD-W-W-D-W2.40 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.56. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UEFA Champions League Qualifying. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.56
V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Vikingur Reykjavik. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 43.2% 7D: 24.3% 15D: 17.5% 30D: 20.1%
Model insight

Vikingur Reykjavik – Hapoel Beer Sheva Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.56. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample96
Win Rate38.5%
Profit-4.67u
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Pick
1 @ 2.56
Kickoff
Lug 21, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341
Start
Starts in 1d 1h
Updated
Updated 5m ago
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