Model: TipA1

Inverness CT vs St Johnstone

PREDICTION

@ 2.15

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 21, 2026 10:45 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 10h 56m

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.85% · n=318

V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.85% · n=318

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 23h 50m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is St Johnstone. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: St JohnstoneGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.051 | A: 0.045

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

13/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Inverness CTHOME

St JohnstoneAWAY

WDWLL

Recent form

WWWWW

Avg goals scored

1.60

3.20

Defensive weakness

1.60

0.40

Shots on target for

5.40

8.80

SoT conceded pressure

5.00

2.20

Home splitD-L-W-W1.00 scored / 1.50 conceded

Away splitW-W-W-W-W2.80 scored / 0.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.15. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.85% based on n=318 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Scotland League Cup (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.15

V2 BandNONEROI -3.85% · n=318

V4 BandNONEROI -3.85% · n=318

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. St Johnstone is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 38.8% 7D: 23.0% 15D: 16.8% 30D: 20.5%

Model insight

Inverness CT – St Johnstone Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.15. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -3.85% and -3.85%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample168

Win Rate48.8%

Profit+2.35u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Ryutsu Keizai Dragons - Nihon University	2.00	-1.48%
LOSS	VIFK (W) - PK-35 (W)	2.20	-3.85%
LOSS	Basel - Juventus	2.00	-1.48%
WIN	Almirante Brown Reserves - CA San Telmo Reserves	2.00	-1.48%
LOSS	Sao Luiz - CSA	2.20	-1.48%
LOSS	Macarthur Rams (W) - Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)	2.00	-3.85%
LOSS	Argentino Quilmes - Arsenal de Sarandi	2.15	-1.48%
LOSS	Ceara (W) - 3B Sport AM (W)	2.05	-1.48%

Pick

2 @ 2.15

Kickoff

Lug 21, 2026 10:45 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -3.85% • n=318

Confidence V4

CONF V4: NONE

Exp. ROI V4

-3.85% • n=318

Start

Starts in 10h 56m

Updated

Updated 23h 50m ago