Model: TipTromba45H

Coleshill Town vs Alvechurch

PREDICTION

@ 4.00

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffLug 21, 2026 10:45 PM

ResultLOSS2 - 2

StartStarted 1d 1h ago

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI 0.00% · n=160

V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI 0.00% · n=160

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 2d 4h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Coleshill Town. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Coleshill TownGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Balanced

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

42/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds4.00First seen

Current4.12Now

Max odds4.12Highest point

Min odds4.00Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Coleshill TownHOME

AlvechurchAWAY

Recent form

DWWDD

Avg goals scored

1.50

2.20

Defensive weakness

2.00

1.40

Shots on target for

4.00

6.25

SoT conceded pressure

5.50

4.25

Home splitD2.00 scored / 2.00 conceded

Away splitD-W-L-D2.00 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.00. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of 0.00% based on n=160 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UK Friendlies (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd4.00

V2 BandNONEROI 0.00% · n=160

V4 BandNONEROI 0.00% · n=160

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor Coleshill Town. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 55.5% 7D: 27.2% 15D: 19.8% 30D: 22.0%

Model insight

Coleshill Town – Alvechurch Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba45H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 0.00% and 0.00%. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample13

Win Rate15.4%

Profit-4.80u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Tenerife - Getafe	4.00	0.00%
LOSS	Yunnan Yukun - Chengdu Rongcheng	4.00	0.00%
LOSS	Darlington 1883 - Carlisle	4.00	0.00%
LOSS	GrIFK - AIFK	4.20	0.00%
LOSS	Biel Bienne - Yverdon Sport FC	4.00	0.00%
LOSS	Santa Cruz RJ - Perolas Negras	4.00	0.00%
WIN	Hamar Hveragerdi - Arborg	4.20	0.00%
LOSS	XV Piracicaba U20 - Gremio Novorizontino U20	4.20	0.00%

Pick

1 @ 4.00

Kickoff

Lug 21, 2026 10:45 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 0.00% • n=160

Confidence V4

CONF V4: NONE

Exp. ROI V4

0.00% • n=160

Start

Started 1d 1h ago

Updated

Updated 2d 4h ago