Aldershot vs Oxford Utd
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Aldershot. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: AldershotGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.002 | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 5.25. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 8.20% based on n=51 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UK Friendlies (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
The market prices Aldershot as an outsider, but recent form does not suggest a gap wide enough to completely dismiss the selection. Comparable matches classified within the ELITE confidence range have historically generated positive model outcomes.
Aldershot – Oxford Utd Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Sutton Utd - AFC Wimbledon | 5.00 | 9.41% |
| LOSS | KSV Oudenaarde - Club Brugge II | 5.00 | 9.41% |
| WIN | Livingston - Hearts | 5.00 | 9.41% |
| LOSS | Wiener Sportclub - Floridsdorfer AC | 5.50 | 8.20% |
| WIN | AaB - Viborg | 5.25 | 8.20% |
| LOSS | Thitsar Arman FC (W) - Shan Utd (W) | 5.00 | 9.41% |
| LOSS | Fraser Park - Sydney Olympic | 5.50 | 8.20% |
| LOSS | JaPS (W) - KTP (W) | 5.00 | 10.61% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malisheva - Hibernian | 1 | 5.50 | 8.20% | 23 Jul 16:30 |
| FC Nagykanizsa - Diosgyori VTK | 1 | 5.00 | 9.41% | 26 Jul 17:00 |