Model: TIPPSH

Fraser Park vs Sydney Olympic

PREDICTION

@ 5.12

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 27, 2026 1:30 PM

ResultLOSS2 - 3

StartStarted 45d ago

V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 8.57% · n=57

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 45d 2h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Fraser Park. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Fraser Park

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

77/100

Excellent value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds5.50First seen

Current5.59Now

Max odds8.00Highest point

Min odds5.44Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Fraser ParkHOME

Sydney OlympicAWAY

LWLDW

Recent form

WWLLL

Avg goals scored

1.20

1.00

Defensive weakness

1.20

1.80

Shots on target for

7.60

1.00

SoT conceded pressure

4.20

3.80

Home splitL-W-W-W-W4.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitW-W-L-L-L1.00 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 5.12. The V2 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 8.57% based on n=57 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Cup Qualifying (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd5.12

V2 BandELITEROI 8.57% · n=57

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market prices Fraser Park as an outsider, but recent form does not suggest a gap wide enough to completely dismiss the selection. The selection falls within a stronger historical confidence range, which makes the higher price more interesting. Fraser Park is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 9.0% 7D: 32.7% 15D: 26.4% 30D: 7.3%

Model insight

Fraser Park – Sydney Olympic Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 5.12. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is ELITE, with a historical expected ROI of 8.57% across 57 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample3

Win Rate33.3%

Profit+1.91u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Dnepr Mogilev - Neman Grodno	4.91	8.57%
LOSS	Niigata University H&W - Japan Soccer College	5.12	10.23%
LOSS	Middelfart - B93 Copenhagen	5.09	8.57%

Pick

1 @ 5.12

Kickoff

Mag 27, 2026 1:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: ELITE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 8.57% • n=57

Start

Started 45d ago

Updated

Updated 45d 2h ago