Walsall vs Aston Villa
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Walsall. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: WalsallGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.75. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.09% based on n=255 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Elite Club Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor Walsall. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured.
Walsall – Aston Villa Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Kaisar Kyzylorda (W) - Tomiris Turan (W) | 3.75 | 4.84% |
| LOSS | Illawarra Stingrays (W) - NWS Spirit (W) | 3.90 | 4.09% |
| LOSS | Annecy - FC Sion | 3.90 | 4.09% |
| WIN | Hills United FC U20 - Hakoah Sydney City East U20 | 3.50 | 3.99% |
| WIN | Sagaing United FC U20 - Yadanarbon FC U20 | 3.75 | 4.09% |
| WIN | Stockport - Bristol City | 3.75 | 4.09% |
| LOSS | Bedfont Sports - St Albans | 3.80 | 4.09% |
| LOSS | Taichung Futuro - Naval | 3.50 | 3.99% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dag & Red - Crystal Palace U21 | 1 | 3.70 | 4.85% | 21 Jul 20:30 |
| LNZ Lebedyn - Gent | 1 | 3.50 | 3.99% | 23 Jul 20:30 |