Sagaing United FC U20 – Yadanarbon FC U20

Model: TipTromba4H

Sagaing United FC U20 vs Yadanarbon FC U20

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.75
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 16, 2026 1:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 3h 59m
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.09% · n=255
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.09% · n=255
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 5h 12m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Sagaing United FC U20. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Sagaing United FC U20

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

55/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.75First seen
Current4.03Now
Max odds4.03Highest point
Min odds3.75Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Sagaing United FC U20HOME
VS
Yadanarbon FC U20AWAY
DLLLL
Recent form
WDLLW
Avg goals scored
1.40
1.20
Defensive weakness
3.40
1.40
Shots on target for
4.60
4.40
SoT conceded pressure
8.40
7.60
Home splitD-L-L-D2.25 scored / 3.25 conceded
Away splitL-W-W1.67 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.75. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.09% based on n=255 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Myanmar U20 League (mm). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.75
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.09% · n=255
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.09% · n=255
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -25.7% 7D: -11.5% 15D: 8.3% 30D: 14.8%
Model insight

Sagaing United FC U20 – Yadanarbon FC U20 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.75. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba4H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.09% and 4.09%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample85
Win Rate31.8%
Profit+15.30u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSBedfont Sports - St Albans3.804.09%
LOSSTaichung Futuro - Naval3.503.99%
LOSSCentral Cordoba SdE U20 - Atletico Tucuman U203.804.09%
WINSligo Rovers (W) - Wexford FC (W)3.754.84%
LOSSSpartans - Arbroath3.754.09%
LOSSSV Horn - Floridsdorfer AC3.603.99%
LOSSFC Ylivieska - FC Kiisto3.504.85%
LOSSPeamount Utd (W) - Athlone Town (W)3.754.09%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Stockport - Bristol City13.754.09%17 Jul 11:00
Hills United FC U20 - Hakoah Sydney City East U2013.503.99%18 Jul 11:00
Pick
1 @ 3.75
Kickoff
Lug 16, 2026 1:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.09% • n=255
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.09% • n=255
Start
Starts in 3h 59m
Updated
Updated 5h 12m ago
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