Model: TipTromba4H

LNZ Lebedyn vs Gent

PREDICTION

@ 3.80

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 23, 2026 10:30 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 2d 4h

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.09% · n=255

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.09% · n=255

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 4m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is LNZ Lebedyn. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: LNZ LebedynGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: 0.000

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Balanced

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

55/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.25First seen

Current3.90Now

Max odds3.90Highest point

Min odds3.25Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

LNZ LebedynHOME

GentAWAY

LWWWW

Recent form

DWDWD

Avg goals scored

2.60

2.80

Defensive weakness

1.00

1.40

Shots on target for

4.40

3.80

SoT conceded pressure

3.00

5.80

Home splitL-W-L-W-D1.20 scored / 0.60 conceded

Away splitD-W-D-W-L2.60 scored / 2.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.80. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.09% based on n=255 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UEFA Conference League Qualifying. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd3.80

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.09% · n=255

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.09% · n=255

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 39.4% 7D: 26.2% 15D: 15.7% 30D: 21.1%

Model insight

LNZ Lebedyn – Gent Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.80. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba4H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.09% and 4.09%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample78

Win Rate33.3%

Profit+19.30u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Kaisar Kyzylorda (W) - Tomiris Turan (W)	3.75	4.84%
LOSS	Illawarra Stingrays (W) - NWS Spirit (W)	3.90	4.09%
LOSS	Annecy - FC Sion	3.90	4.09%
WIN	Sagaing United FC U20 - Yadanarbon FC U20	3.75	4.09%
WIN	Stockport - Bristol City	3.75	4.09%
LOSS	Bedfont Sports - St Albans	3.80	4.09%
LOSS	Central Cordoba SdE U20 - Atletico Tucuman U20	3.80	4.09%
WIN	Sligo Rovers (W) - Wexford FC (W)	3.75	4.84%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Dag & Red - Crystal Palace U21	1	3.70	4.85%	21 Jul 20:30
Walsall - Aston Villa	1	3.75	4.09%	21 Jul 20:30

Pick

1 @ 3.80

Kickoff

Lug 23, 2026 10:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.09% • n=255

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

4.09% • n=255

Start

Starts in 2d 4h

Updated

Updated 4m ago