FK Egnatia vs NK Celje
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is FK Egnatia. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: FK EgnatiaGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: -0.009Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.60. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.99% based on n=331 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UEFA Champions League Qualifying. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured.
FK Egnatia – NK Celje Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Walsall - Aston Villa | 3.75 | 4.09% |
| WIN | Dag & Red - Crystal Palace U21 | 3.70 | 4.85% |
| LOSS | Kaisar Kyzylorda (W) - Tomiris Turan (W) | 3.75 | 4.84% |
| WIN | Hills United FC U20 - Hakoah Sydney City East U20 | 3.50 | 3.99% |
| WIN | Sagaing United FC U20 - Yadanarbon FC U20 | 3.75 | 4.09% |
| WIN | Stockport - Bristol City | 3.75 | 4.09% |
| LOSS | Bedfont Sports - St Albans | 3.80 | 4.09% |
| LOSS | Taichung Futuro - Naval | 3.50 | 3.99% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LNZ Lebedyn - Gent | 1 | 3.50 | 3.99% | 23 Jul 20:30 |