Aurora vs Guastatoya
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Guastatoya. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: GuastatoyaGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.10. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.82% based on n=246 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Guatemala Liga Nacional (gt). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Guastatoya. The HIGH confidence band is important here: similar higher-priced setups have historically produced positive model results. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Guastatoya's attacking profile.
Aurora – Guastatoya Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Argentino de Rosario - Puerto Nuevo | 3.00 | 5.52% |
| LOSS | Viettel U21 - PVF-CAND U21 | 3.00 | 5.52% |
| LOSS | FK Kyzylzhar (W) - FC Elimai Semey (W) | 3.00 | 5.52% |
| LOSS | Villa Nova - Valeriodoce EC | 2.88 | 5.52% |
| LOSS | Salam Zgharta - Risaleh Toura | 3.10 | 5.52% |
| WIN | Cianorte - ASA | 3.10 | 5.52% |
| LOSS | Botafogo RJ U20 - Santos U20 | 3.20 | 5.52% |
| LOSS | Club Highland Players - CD Rio San Juan Humi | 3.00 | 5.52% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Groningen - FC Volendam | 2 | 3.00 | 5.52% | 24 Jul 14:00 |
| River Plate Asuncion - Club General Martin Ledesma | 2 | 3.00 | 5.52% | 24 Jul 15:00 |
| SV Lafnitz - USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth | 2 | 2.90 | 5.52% | 24 Jul 19:00 |
| Adelaide United NPL - Sturt Lions | 2 | 3.10 | 5.52% | 25 Jul 07:30 |
| SE Gama - America RN | 2 | 3.20 | 5.52% | 26 Jul 21:00 |